The Bayesian Mean Square Error of the estimator is
Finding by solving , and taking the derivative wrt. to zero yields
The Bayesian MSE estimator is the conditional expectation of the paramter given our observations
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Jan 06, 2025, 1 min read
The Bayesian Mean Square Error of the estimator is
Bmse(θ^)=E[(θ−θ^)]=∫∫(θ−θ^)2p(x,θ)dθdxFinding θ^ by solving θ^=argminθ′E[(θ−θ^)], and taking the derivative wrt. θ^ to zero yields
θ^=∫θp(θ∣x)dθ=E[θ∣x]The Bayesian MSE estimator is the conditional expectation of the paramter θ given our observations x.